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Old October 4th, 2012, 12:48 PM   #1
clarkstoncracker
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After debate intrade results:

Obama:
https://data.intrade.com/graphing/js...ww.intrade.com

Romney:
https://data.intrade.com/graphing/js...ww.intrade.com


IMO, Intrade is more important than any tracking poll.
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Old October 4th, 2012, 01:35 PM   #2
MonkeyBiz
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It looks like this is a graph of what stocks would be if each guy had their policies in place. I think. Could you explain what we're looking at a little better?
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Old October 4th, 2012, 02:49 PM   #3
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Here's the quotes from the Iowa Electronic Market:

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/Pres12_Quotes.html

The IEM has been tracking these types of races since 1988. I've followed it for the last three presidential elections and often check it out before the Fed makes an FOMC announcement and they are generally spot on.

They show virtually no change from yesterday before the debates through today (but did show Romney tightening the race between Monday and the debate Wednesday).
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Old October 5th, 2012, 10:59 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MonkeyBiz View Post
It looks like this is a graph of what stocks would be if each guy had their policies in place. I think. Could you explain what we're looking at a little better?
Intrade is the stock market of elections and other non-corporate events.

You play the market just like the stock market.

After election results are posted, obama's stock ill be worth $100 or $0, same with romney's.

It's the best way to track real results. People are using money to make those results happen.
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Old October 5th, 2012, 01:05 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by clarkstoncracker View Post
Obama:
https://data.intrade.com/graphing/js...ww.intrade.com

Romney:
https://data.intrade.com/graphing/js...ww.intrade.com


IMO, Intrade is more important than any tracking poll.
so, Romney trended up pretty well, until very recently.

Obama's stock is still much higher priced than romney's, even though he has a lot of up and down he is trending pretty flat, but still above romney.
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